Government Shutdown
Washington Gridlock Returns as Odds of U.S. Government Shutdown Surge to 80%
As of January 26, 2026, the United States is once again teetering on the edge of a fiscal precipice. Predictive markets, including Kalshi and Polymarket, have seen the odds of a partial government shutdown rocket to a staggering 80% following a total collapse in bipartisan negotiations over the weekend. With