Economic Risks

Stock Market

The 10% Shadow: Analyzing the Growing Risk of a 30% Market Correction in 2026

As 2025 draws to a close, a sobering forecast from Barron’s has sent ripples through the financial community, suggesting a 10% probability of a massive 30% stock market crash in 2026. While the broader consensus remains cautiously optimistic for the new year, this "tail risk" scenario highlights

Government Shutdown

Government Shutdown Intensifies Economic Risks, Threatening Fed's Policy Path

As the U.S. government grapples with an ongoing shutdown in October 2025, economic experts are sounding alarms over the intensifying risks to the nation's financial stability. The impasse, which has seen hundreds of thousands of federal employees furloughed or working without pay, is already creating a multifaceted